Navigating Through the Storm: Europe’s Real Estate Landscape in 2024

As we venture deeper into 2024, Europe’s Real Estate is standing at the crossroads of uncertainty and opportunity. Against a backdrop of economic tremors, the real estate community is eyeing a cautiously optimistic horizon. Here’s a detailed exploration of the key trends that are shaping the market this year, giving investors, agents, and stakeholders a roadmap through this complex landscape.

1. Europe’s Real Estate Market Uncertainties

The European real estate market continues to navigate through high economic tides. With inflation and interest rates causing ripples across the board, sectors promising recession-proof stability, such as decarbonization-aligned properties and tech-oriented spaces, are gaining traction. This nuanced approach is crucial in a market where geopolitical pressures are as influential as economic fundamentals​ (PwC)​.

2. The Office Sector: Adapting to New Normals

The transformation in work dynamics has left a clear imprint on office spaces across Europe. This is primarily due to the shift towards hybrid and remote working models. Cities are seeing a polarization in office space demand, whereas areas with outdated facilities face rising vacancies. This shift underscores a deeper reevaluation of space requirements and investment priorities​ (abrdn)​​ (Knight Frank)​ as well as a search for more independent living.

3. Logistics: The Steady Contender

Despite a slowdown in growth post-pandemic, the logistics sector remains robust, driven by a sustained demand for high-quality, energy-efficient spaces. This segment of the market highlights the ongoing adjustments in supply chain logistics and e-commerce impacts, reflecting broader economic trends and their implications on real estate​ (Knight Frank)​​ (BNP Paribas Real Estate)​.

4. Investment Dynamics: Opportunities Amidst Challenges

With overall investment activity taking a hit, the landscape is ripe with opportunities for discerning investors. Niche markets and quality assets are seeing interest. This suggests a strategic shift towards properties that offer stable returns and growth potential. This pivot is crucial in a market that’s realigning its investment approach to adapt to the new economic realities​ (BNP Paribas Real Estate)​​ (CBRE)​.

5. Prospects of Recovery and Resilience

As the market recalibrates, signs of recovery are emerging, fueled by stabilizing debt costs and a strategic repositioning by investors. This phase is likely to usher in a wave of renewed activity. This is especially true for underpriced assets that are well-positioned to benefit from economic recovery. The focus on fundamentals, alongside strategic investments in resilient sectors like residential and logistics, is set to define the trajectory for the latter half of the decade​ (DWS Investors)​.

For real estate investors, understanding these trends is key to navigating the complexities of Europe’s Real Estate market. So, by keeping a close eye on these developments, you can better position yourself. You will be ready to face the real estate landscape that is as challenging as it is ripe with opportunities.

As we continue to monitor these trends, the pulse of the market suggests a cautious yet forward-looking approach. It ensures that resilience and adaptability remain at the forefront of strategic planning in real estate investment.

For a deeper dive into these insights, please explore more detailed discussions through the comprehensive reports provided by sources like PwC, abrdn, and BNP Paribas Real Estate.

Real Estate in Europe

The European real estate market in comparison

We just jumped into the year 2020 and curious to know how the real estate market in Europe was doing last year? Maybe we can find a tendency that is a must-know for our real estate strategy.

When making my research I came across a very interesting report that really opened my eyes to a few surprising facts regarding the real estate in Europe. I can recommend this to everybody to have a read.

Property Index – Overview of European Residential Markets

https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/de/Documents/real-estate/property-index-2019-2.pdf

Also, they will regularly post new reports – so you can keep up with new developments. “Data is the new gold”, so they say and I believe they are right. Acting according to the data provided can give you a big advantage.

Here are some results from this report I found very useful.

Since 2015, growing prices were seen in 15 (from a total of 16 EU countries). Italy being the only exception. There, property prices have been falling gently but little by little for years.

The typical annual growth in European property purchase prices has been 5 percent over the past three years.

In Eastern European countries (the likes of Hungary or the Czech Republic) and in Portugal, however, this increase was almost twice as high, which makes it increasingly problematic for people in these countries to acquire real estate in view of the lower income levels. In Eastern Europe the price growth may be seen as catch-up growth. Also, price developments are motivated in particular by the low interest rate environment. The “cheap” money fuels the property prices on one side, but also increases debt on the other.

The purchase price index between urban property prices and those in the countryside continue to separate and continue to show the ever more differing development of purchase prices between urban and rural regions. Just to look at one example, property prices in German cities such as Berlin, Frankfurt and Hamburg exceed the national average by half; Munich has the highest German value at 130 percent. Looking at Europe as a whole, Munich is not the only one: in a European comparison Paris and Lisbon (both about 220% above average) and London (198%) show an even more extreme development.

Are you looking for a great real estate bargain in Europe?

Or maybe you see this as a good time to cash on those favourable developments. Here are two places that can help you.

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Property transactions costs comparison between the US and Europe

I recently read an article which indicated that transaction costs for US property average between 9 and 10%. This seems staggeringly high to someone like me who is more used to costs around 2%.

The seller has to pay the majority of the US transaction costs and the largest part by far is the Real Estate Broker fee which is typically 6%.

Similar costs in Northern Europe are between 1.5 and 3%. Other overall costs are pretty comparable and consist mostly of taxes and legal fees.

Continue reading Property transactions costs comparison between the US and Europe

Property Depreciation and why Europeans have never heard much about it!

Here is an interesting thing I realized recently as a result of living in the US. In the US property depreciates. As a result you can write off the cost of the depreciation against rental income (typically over 27.5 years).

This deduction is not possible for those living in Europe. Why the difference?

Is it because of differing building standards. Generally more buildings are timber frame in the US verses block build in Europe thereby affecting their lifespan? Continue reading Property Depreciation and why Europeans have never heard much about it!

An Overview of Expected Property Price Growth in Europe

I was reading an article recently which reviewed a recently published S&P report. It indicated that 3 countries are set to led the price growth in property: Ireland, Portugal, and the Netherlands.

It appears the price growth in these countries is as a result of a shortage in supply.

The report predicts that the top 3 countries will continue to see growth in property prices until at least 2020. For the coming year it predicts growth of 8.5% in both Portugal and Ireland with the Netherlands close behind. Continue reading An Overview of Expected Property Price Growth in Europe

Rent a room to earn income and save tax

It appears most countries across Europe now have a scheme whereby you can rent a room in your house and the income earned is tax-free up to a threshold.

This is certainly something worth considering as many countries charge a crippling tax rate for rental income or for many people the extra income pushes them in a higher income tax rate. Effectively this means they may be paying back almost half the extra income in tax. Continue reading Rent a room to earn income and save tax

You need as little as £20k to get on the property ladder

If you think you will never be able to put together enough money to get on the property ladder …think again.

It normally takes a few years saving up for a deposit and than to be able to demonstrate you have the ability to meet your monthly payments on a mortgage.

Continue reading You need as little as £20k to get on the property ladder

They sell like hotcakes. Free property listings

Thousands of users are visiting our website every week to seek out new free property listings. It seems properties prices are again increasing right across Europe.

Listproperty4free.com helps the real estate market by providing free services for buyers and sellers. Continue reading They sell like hotcakes. Free property listings

Buying property in Spain and Portugal: What a difference 2 years can make!

I recently read an article published on The Telegraph website which reviewed the world’s top 20 places to invest in property abroad (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/property/abroad/worlds-20-best-places-to-invest-in-property/).

The article is over two years old now (written in January 2014) and I was Continue reading Buying property in Spain and Portugal: What a difference 2 years can make!

How to get European citizenship

There are a number of possibilities to obtain European citizenship.

One of them is citizenship by descent, known as jus sanguinis.

If you are able to demonstrate that you have ancestors from Europe, in many cases you can be entitled to citizenship. Continue reading How to get European citizenship